Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1877.214766 2050.691562 2228.191744 2423.113044 2630.870250 2845.407710 3083.411290
2024-10-20 1592.682426 1846.452042 2117.648418 2427.937282 2772.007460 3140.735457 3564.629670
2024-10-27 1355.580519 1646.501339 1968.037837 2347.525035 2780.840880 3257.884504 3820.396169
2024-11-03 1267.692268 1597.555666 1971.870424 2424.340059 2952.592617 3545.963496 4258.845988
2024-11-10 1181.475853 1539.429714 1955.349005 2468.868076 3080.142508 3778.791693 4631.666548
2024-11-17 1085.005300 1459.738881 1905.079529 2465.975848 3145.789414 3935.267134 4913.130302
2024-11-24 989.260700 1373.034985 1839.150323 2437.457249 3175.041033 4044.457331 5135.915075
2024-12-01 930.645086 1328.082549 1820.186193 2462.438111 3265.949057 4225.272096 5443.487802
2024-12-08 867.219040 1272.267336 1783.438706 2461.507921 3322.025492 4362.118624 5697.432586
2024-12-15 831.188042 1249.630216 1786.628792 2509.116851 3437.380456 4571.246258 6040.581655
2024-12-22 772.038402 1192.145583 1741.173140 2491.173047 3467.531706 4673.523596 6251.723058
2024-12-29 747.326716 1179.942062 1753.883804 2547.761093 3592.347380 4894.296921 6611.546194
2025-01-05 704.387133 1140.714920 1729.537047 2555.498958 3655.342344 5039.932058 6882.120344
2025-01-12 663.603929 1102.247706 1704.301576 2560.556484 3714.091186 5180.417608 7147.777536
2025-01-19 596.247127 1021.155943 1616.325834 2476.779301 3651.981792 5162.889677 7209.925893
2025-01-26 587.186625 1025.660338 1647.866692 2556.809603 3809.008503 5430.374054 7640.439017
2025-02-02 568.287843 1014.071467 1655.574419 2603.190446 3920.716462 5639.532298 7997.473551
2025-02-09 535.935740 979.939752 1629.123689 2600.178111 3964.244757 5758.719800 8237.977701
2025-02-16 498.287902 935.319725 1585.269717 2570.473430 3969.478629 5826.098381 8410.245216
2025-02-23 478.515244 917.984985 1580.799744 2596.493416 4051.550465 5996.281844 8719.232508
2025-03-02 452.895730 889.681712 1558.533336 2595.524579 4095.122398 6114.521460 8959.890465
2025-03-09 441.673418 884.471364 1570.885317 2645.107225 4210.211980 6330.428160 9332.747900
2025-03-16 414.425494 850.804816 1538.016956 2626.420572 4227.335091 6412.477411 9526.192137